Lessons From The WSOP

I am not a poker player. Sure, I have played a few neighborhood games here and there…won some, lost some, but I certainly do not consider myself even an amateur player. When you are playing for nickels, dimes, and quarters it really doesn’t matter. I do like to watch the World Series of Poker, however. I am fascinated by the ability of the top players to assess and act on each situation so quickly. There is some luck, to be sure, but over the course of a tournament the best players usually win. It got me thinking about why they are so good at taking advantage of “lesser” players. Here is what I have come up with:

Data: The best players know the odds of winning every hand, all the time. It is very rare that you will see a poker professional make a mistake based on the data at their disposal. The information is available to everyone, but the best know what to do with the data and usually act accordingly.

Know Their Competition: There is a lot of talk about being able to “read” another player, but it is more than seeing a facial expression, tick, or change in behavior. The professionals look at betting patterns and changes in those patterns. They realize that the data available to them goes way beyond the calculated odds of winning a hand. They look at both the quantitative and qualitative information accumulated over a period of time and use it to beat their competition. These “tells” give them a distinct advantage over their competition.

Exploit & Mitigate: Kenny Rogers got it right when he sang, “You’ve got to know when to hold ‘em and when to fold ‘em.” With the accumulation of data (quantitative and qualitative), the best players will exploit their competition when the timing is right, but they will also mitigate their losses by getting out of a hand. It is as much fun to watch a player fold his/her hand just when it looks like they are heading for a big loss, as it is to watch them take advantage of a lesser opponent and take the pot.

They Have a System: The best players use a system. Some are very aggressive, while others are more conservative. Some will play a hand, while others decide to fold with identical cards. Some are very vocal, while others are quiet. Some are emotional, while others remain cool. There is not a right or wrong, but the top players all have a system that works for them. It is very rare that a good player will let his/her emotions dictate their play. When players “meltdown”, it is usually because they have abandoned their system.

They Manage Their Resources: Amateur players will very often lose sight of their resources, inevitable leading to a “bad beat” or a “bust”. Pro’s will very rarely make the same mistake. They lose hands. That is the nature of the game. They will not typically, however, overplay a hand. The result is that their resources last longer, offering them more opportunities…additional hands to play.

Ebbs & Flows: The previous point about managing resources is important because the top players understand the natural ebbs and flows of the game. Some players get hot, while others get cold. This is true for even the best players. By managing their resources, the professionals get to works through these patterns, accumulate more data, and act when the timing is right.

They Eliminate Biases: Because they are so adept at analyzing each situation, the professionals eliminate biases from their thought processes. Inevitably, each player will have to deal with someone they don’t like, or where there is some history. The best players will remove the historical bias and only focus on the present situation. They will absolutely use historical knowledge, but they will remove the “noise” from their analysis.

Now consider those companies that are great at managing channel relationships. Every one of them shares the same qualities of the best players. By the way, you can apply these same points to any superior sports team, company, charity, non-profit, or politician. I didn’t include “passion” in my list because I think that even amateurs can have passion. Certainly all of the best companies, sports teams, politicians, etc. all have passion for what they do.

Would love to hear your thoughts on this list and any other qualities that you would like to contribute.